We are supportive of a heating system metric but it’s important that this metric focuses on the carbon efficiency of the system. A simple but appropriate metric would be the greenhouse gas emissions per unit of heat energy delivered to the home (kg CO2e per kWh).
Efficiency of the system would be incorporated in the calculation, as well as in the energy cost metric, meaning it does not need to be highlighted specifically. It will be important to make sure that efficiency assumptions are appropriate and comparable between technologies.
In use performance of gas and oil boilers is well understood, but information available on heat pump performance is still developing and being interpreted and the range of measured performance varies dramatically between installations.
The Electrification of Heat report and analysis of RHI metered for payment installations both show that there is little or no correlation between the design efficiency (SCoP) of an installation and its actual in situ performance (SPF). The SCoP is therefore not a useful indicator of likely performance and should not be used as a basis for a metric.
The variation between SCoP and SPF can be put down to a number of factors including:
- poor design, including oversizing of heat pumps leading to excessive cycling
- poor installation, such as missing or inappropriate lagging
- poor commissioning, such as setting the compensation curve too high
- inappropriate operation, such as setting multiple low temperature setback periods
None of these can be accounted for in an EPC assessment. The one determining factor that could potentially be accounted for is the design flow temperature, which is specific to the system not the occupier and has a significant impact on the potential system efficiency.
We would suggest that, in the first instance, the efficiency used to calculate the heating metric for heat pumps is based on technology type (eg air-to-water) and either design flow temperature of the system (if available) or maximum flow temperature of the unit (if design temperature is not available).
This calculation could be modified over time as more data becomes available. Data from individual product fiches should not be used in the calculation until a relationship between claimed performance and in situ performance has been demonstrated and quantified. Monitored performance of an individual installation could, in principle, be used to over-write the modelled efficiency in the future.
However, care would be needed to avoid reducing ratings for a system because it was being used sub-optimally by the current resident and to ensure that monitored and unmonitored systems are comparable.
The other key factor in the calculation would be the carbon factor of the fuel. For most fuels this is consistent, but the factor for electricity will diminish over time. It will be important to show the factor used, or to include some other mechanism for EPCs from different dates to be compared – for example, showing a rating based on factors for a consistent baseline year, as well as the rating at the time of the assessment.
There is currently no agreed methodology or dataset for calculating different electricity carbon factors based on time of use, but we would recommend that this is considered for future development so that electrical heating systems incorporating storage can be accounted for correctly.
The main risk with a carbon-based heating metric is that systems with a high running cost, such as electric panel heaters, perform better as the grid decarbonises. This risk can be mitigated through the energy cost metric, providing a clear and obvious link is made between the heating system and the energy cost rating. One way might be a pie chart showing how much of the energy cost comes from each use type.